EU prepares for 3 °C warming scenario

The European Union is preparing for the possibility that global temperatures could rise by 3 °C by the end of the century, which would have significant impacts on its member states. This scenario is part of a new initiative to develop climate resilience plans that all 27 EU countries must create by the end of 2030.

Climate resilience plans based on scientific data

The European Commission has proposed a draft bill that sets out a common climate scenario for all EU countries. This scenario is based on current scientific projections, which suggest that global warming could reach 1.5 °C by 2030, 2 °C by 2050, and 3 °C by 2100 compared to pre-industrial levels.

Economic costs of climate damage rising

According to the European Commission, the economic losses from climate-related damage were approximately 50 billion euros per year between 2022 and 2025. These costs are expected to increase significantly if global temperatures continue to rise, prompting the need for urgent adaptation efforts.

Investments needed for climate adaptation

The Commission estimates that 70 billion euros per year in investments will be required to help Europe adapt to the impacts of climate change. Teresa Ribera, vice-president of the European Commission, emphasized the importance of acting before climate change leads to severe consequences for the economy and society.

Health and environmental risks highlighted

The potential impacts of climate change include more frequent forest fires, floods, and droughts, as well as increased health risks, especially for urban populations. City residents are particularly vulnerable to heatwaves and heat stress, which are expected to become more common as temperatures rise.

EU remains committed to 1.5 °C target

Despite the preparation for higher warming levels, the EU has not abandoned its goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C. Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra stated that the EU must focus on both reducing emissions to stay close to the 1.5 °C target and preparing for the possibility of higher warming levels.