A new interactive website allows users to explore how individual glaciers around the world might disappear in the future, according to a recent report. The Global Glacier Extinction Explorer, developed by researchers from ETH Zurich and Vrije Universiteit Brussel, provides users with a visual timeline of when glaciers could vanish under different levels of global warming. The platform is based on a study published in Nature Climate Change, which found that glaciers are currently experiencing an unprecedented rate of loss.
The website, available at [www.glacierextinction.com](http://www.glacierextinction.com), was created by Lander Van Tricht from ETH Zurich and Vrije Universiteit Brussel, and Kristof Van Tricht from VITO Remote Sensing. It translates complex scientific data into an accessible interactive map, allowing users to explore the future of glaciers in their local area. The launch of the tool comes at a particularly difficult time for European glaciers, with preliminary data suggesting that 2026 may be one of the worst years for Alpine glaciers since records began. A combination of low winter snowfall and intense summer heat has led to significant ice loss in the Alps.
In August 2026, the Bella Tola Glacier near Saint-Luc, Switzerland, was officially declared extinct after nearly disappearing. This closely matches projections from the Nature Climate Change study, which predicted the glacier would vanish between 2026 and 2029. Another glacier, the Urirotstock Glacier, was also declared extinct in 2026, showing how quickly some of Switzerland's smallest glaciers are disappearing.
The loss of a glacier is not caused by a single warm year but by decades of accumulated ice loss. However, extreme melting events like those in 2022 or 2026 can speed up the final disappearance. The study used projections from three global glacier models published in The Cryosphere to estimate how many glaciers could vanish, where, and when. At +1.5°C of global warming, about 2,000 glaciers are expected to disappear annually at the peak of extinction, a number that nearly doubles under +4°C warming. By 2100, nearly half of today's glaciers could remain under +1.5°C warming, but only about 20% would remain under +2.7°C, and fewer than 10% under +4°C. In the European Alps, only around 110 glaciers may remain under +2.7°C warming, and as few as 20 under +4°C.
According to Lander Van Tricht, every fraction of a degree of warming makes a significant difference. Limiting warming to 1.5°C could preserve more than twice as many glaciers by 2100 compared to a 2.7°C warming scenario. The website brings global climate projections down to the level of individual glaciers, letting users search for any glacier in the world and see how its projected lifespan changes under different warming scenarios. However, the extinction years shown on the site should not be taken as exact predictions, since glaciers respond differently based on their size, shape, elevation, and local climate. Additionally, the future path of global warming itself remains uncertain.
Interactive Tool Reveals Global Glacier Disappearance Projections
AI-rewritten from original reportingHow it works
climatechangeglacierextinctionglobalwarmingenvironmentglaciermodelsalpineglaciers
Original sources:
- 🇺🇸Phys.org



