In the ever-evolving landscape of U.S. presidential politics, two prominent Democratic figures—Rep. Jon Ossoff and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez—have reached equal footing in the 2028 prediction market, according to Coinbase's live odds. As of Monday morning, both have a 17 percent chance of being selected as their party’s nominee for president. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails slightly behind with 14 percent. These odds, while not official campaign announcements, reflect public and market perceptions of each politician's potential to secure the nomination in the future.
Ossoff, a Georgia congressman who was elected in January 2021—just one day before the Capitol riot—has been making headlines with his sharp critiques of former President Donald Trump. At a recent rally in Atlanta, Ossoff mocked Trump by saying, "He doesn’t want to do his job. He wants to build his ballroom and travel with Natalie on their apparently defenseless flying palace gifted by the Emir of Qatar." The comment referenced Trump’s executive assistant Natalie Harp, and it drew a strong response from Trump and his allies. Trump’s former press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, and current communications director, Steven Cheung, along with White House spokesman Davis Ingle, criticized Ossoff, with Cheung even dubbing him "Jon Jackoff" and "the biggest cuck loser in politics." The controversy escalated as Ossoff's remarks were widely shared, drawing both support and backlash.
Meanwhile, Ocasio-Cortez, a leading progressive voice on Capitol Hill, recently announced that she had frozen her eggs, a decision some interpreted as a strategic move to prioritize her political ambitions over motherhood. This decision came alongside a shift in her rhetoric, as she has softened some of the more radical statements she made during the 2020 protests. This repositioning has been seen by some as an effort to appeal to a broader electorate. Like Ossoff, Ocasio-Cortez has not officially announced a presidential bid, though she has not ruled it out either.
Despite the rising odds for Ossoff, Ocasio-Cortez, and Newsom, conventional political surveys still favor former Vice President Kamala Harris as the most likely Democratic candidate for 2028. Harris has experience running a national campaign, though her 2020 bid was unsuccessful. She has not yet decided whether to run again, stating in a recent speech that her focus remains on the upcoming midterms. However, she has outlined new policy ideas, such as expanding the Supreme Court and granting statehood to Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia, suggesting she is considering her future political path. For now, though, all three potential candidates—Ossoff, Ocasio-Cortez, and Newsom—have chosen to remain noncommittal about running for president in 2028.
2028 Democratic Presidential Race Gains Momentum with Ossoff, Ocasio-Cortez, and Newsom in Tied Odds
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