Prediction markets, which are platforms where people bet on the likelihood of future events, have identified Jack Lowden as the current favorite to be cast as the next James Bond. According to two major platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, Lowden has the highest odds of being selected for the iconic role. Kalshi lists his chances at 52 percent, while Callum Turner, another actor linked to the role, is at 24 percent. Polymarket also places Lowden at 35 percent, though Turner’s percentage there is not specified. These figures suggest that many bettors are currently favoring Lowden as the next Bond.
In recent weeks, there has been a noticeable shift in public interest. Jack Barton, known for his role in the popular series Heartstopper, has seen a significant rise in support, gaining 11 percentage points since being linked to the role in August. Meanwhile, Polymarket has also noted a 22 percent chance that Amazon MGM Studios, the studio behind the Bond franchise, may not announce the next Bond actor by the end of the year. Jacob Elordi, who was previously considered a leading candidate, has seen his odds drop dramatically to just 1 percent, falling behind actors like Tom Francis and Richard Madden.
Jack Lowden, who gained attention for his role as River Cartwright in the spy drama Slow Horses, has recently been highlighted by Richard Osman, host of The Rest Is Entertainment, who said Lowden is “definitely being strongly considered” for the role. Osman praised Lowden, noting that he has “real Daniel Craig energy.” His co-star, Gary Oldman, also expressed hope that producers had already made their decision, expecting an announcement “soon.” Steven Knight, the writer of the upcoming Bond film, has mentioned that the script is becoming easier to write now that the cast is more defined.
If Lowden is chosen, he would become the first Scottish actor to play James Bond, following in the footsteps of Sir Sean Connery, who originated the role in 1962. Connery portrayed the MI6 agent in seven films, with his last appearance in Never Say Never Again in 1983. Debbie McWilliams, a casting director who helped select previous Bond actors, has emphasized that the role requires an enigmatic presence. She suggested that actors like Elordi and Turner may be too well-known for the part, as the Bond character is traditionally shrouded in mystery.
Prediction Markets Favor Jack Lowden as Next James Bond
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