Essay highlights maritime tensions

In a new essay, economist and historian Arnaud Orain analyzes the current battle for control of the seas, particularly focusing on the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway is a critical passage for global oil trade, connecting the Persian Gulf to the open ocean.

Strategic competition intensifies

The analysis comes amid a period of increased competition for marine resources and a perceived decline in U.S. naval power. Orain notes that this has led to heightened tensions among regional and global powers vying for influence over maritime routes.

Conflict escalates in the region

According to the report, since the beginning of 2026, coordinated strikes by Israel and the United States against Iran have led to a dispute between the Guardians of the Revolution and Donald Trump over control of the Strait of Hormuz. This has created a volatile situation with both sides accusing each other of aggressive actions.

Diplomatic rhetoric and historical references

The Guardians of the Revolution have denounced the "piracy" of the American blockade, while Trump has compared himself to a "pirate" in front of his supporters. Orain references Cicero, a figure often cited by lawyers, who wrote that "the pirate is the common enemy of all," but notes that in a brutal and predatory era where international law is rarely respected, one is always the pirate of someone else.

Author’s background and audience

Orain, a specialist of the 18th century and director of studies, has written this article for subscribers of his publication. His work often blends historical analysis with contemporary geopolitical issues, offering insights into modern conflicts through a historical lens.