Météo France has released its quarterly weather forecast for October to December 2026, predicting that both rain and heat will be major features during this period. According to Le Journal De Mayotte, the rainy season is expected to begin returning to Mayotte gradually, with rainfall increasing week by week. The forecast suggests that overall rainfall for the quarter will be "close to normal," meaning it should be similar to what is typically seen during this time of year.
The return of rain is connected to the movement of the monsoon toward the equator, which affects areas such as Tanzania and the Seychelles. This shift also contributes to increased humidity in the northern part of Madagascar. Additionally, weather patterns for the coming months are being influenced by changes in water temperatures across the Indian Ocean. Warmer-than-usual conditions are expected in the western part of the ocean, while the southwest will see changes, though the exact extent of these changes is not clear.
While rainfall is expected to stay within normal limits, the forecasts emphasize a notable rise in temperatures. Average temperatures for the quarter are predicted to be "significantly above seasonal norms," though no exact figures have been given. This indicates that the region will experience much higher than usual temperatures throughout the period.
The combination of increased rainfall and rising temperatures may have various impacts on the environment and local communities. While the rain is expected to be within typical ranges, the heat could pose challenges for agriculture, energy use, and public health. The forecast underscores the importance of preparing for these conditions as they unfold over the next few months.
Weather Forecasts for Mayotte Indicate Normal Rainfall and Elevated Temperatures in October–December 2026
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