Western Sahara's future hinges on regional power dynamics as Morocco, Israel, and the U.S. push for a new order, with Algeria resisting.
Moroccan sovereignty recognized by Trump in 2020
On December 10, 2020, Donald Trump recognized Morocco’s claim to Western Sahara in exchange for Morocco normalizing relations with Israel. This agreement marked a shift in international recognition of the territory’s sovereignty.Macron aligns with Moroccan stance in 2024
Emmanuel Macron supported this position in July 2024, signaling broader international alignment with Morocco’s claim. This alignment gained formal recognition in October 2025 through UN Security Council Resolution 2797.UN resolution sets new negotiation framework
Resolution 2797 established Morocco’s autonomy plan as the basis for negotiations over Western Sahara’s future. A recent American draft resolution proposes changes to the UN mission MINURSO, including removing the word "referendum" and reducing its military presence by 2027.Historical context of the conflict
A ceasefire in 1991 was meant to lead to a referendum, but it instead allowed Morocco to strengthen its control over Western Sahara. The resumption of fighting by the Polisario Front in 2020 ended this period of relative calm.Great powers push for Sahrawi acceptance
Since 2020, major powers have encouraged the Sahrawi people to return to negotiations and accept a status they have rejected for decades. With diplomatic efforts stalled, military action may become the only way to challenge Morocco’s control.Algeria’s strategic position
Algeria is expected to accept the new regional order as a fait accompli but is not a minor power in North Africa. Its geography, resources, and military strength allow it to influence regional dynamics and support the Sahrawi people’s right to self-determination.Regional balance of power at stake
Western Sahara has become central to a new regional hierarchy involving Morocco, Israel, the U.S., and France. Algeria’s response will determine whether this order is accepted or challenged, with the balance of power likely to decide the future of the region.Algerian resistance and sovereignty
Algeria has not accepted the idea that its strategic interests can be redefined without its input. The country must build alliances and consider military options to defend its sovereignty and the Sahrawi people’s right to self-determination.Twala’s mission and origins
In 2020, during a period of media restrictions in Algeria, the independent news site Twala was created by experienced journalists. Its name reflects a local saying about truth emerging after conflict, with a poetic interpretation emphasizing delayed justice.Twala’s journalistic values
Twala aims to return to journalism rooted in facts, rigor, and investigation. The site’s name, inspired by an Algerian proverb, underscores its commitment to uncovering truth, even when it arrives slowly.