Gold prices, which hit record highs in early 2026 before falling, have since rebounded somewhat but have not yet returned to those peak levels. Analysts are predicting a possible rise in gold prices during the fall, influenced by factors such as continued heavy purchases by central banks, persistent inflation, and ongoing global tensions. However, most experts believe the increase is unlikely to push prices back to the previous record highs.
Brett Elliott of the American Precious Metals Exchange (APMEX) estimates a "reasonable" expectation of gold reaching over $4,500 per ounce this fall. Hiren Chandaria of Monetary Metals suggests a slightly higher range, between $4,800 and $5,000 per ounce. While both analysts agree that gold prices are likely to climb, they also caution that the path to higher prices may be bumpy, with fluctuations influenced by inflation trends and potential changes in interest rates by the Federal Reserve.
Current inflation stands at 3.4%, down from 4.2% earlier this year, but still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Markets are currently predicting a 60% chance of a rate increase at the Fed’s September meeting, although this is not guaranteed. New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has not ruled out revising how inflation is measured, which could have implications for future policy decisions and interest rate changes.
Thomas Winmill of Midas Funds suggests that now could be a good time for investors to take advantage of current gold prices, which he calls bargain levels not seen since early fall 2025. He argues that the current price point offers an opportunity for those looking to invest in gold, given the potential for future price increases and the relative affordability compared to earlier in the year.
Gold Price Outlook for Fall 2026: Experts Predict Rise Amid Volatility
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Original sources:
- 🇺🇸CBS News



