In Ecuador, torrential rains have caused severe flooding in nearly 20,000 hectares of sugarcane fields, leaving them muddy and unharvestable. The rice harvest is also expected to be heavily damaged, leading to rising prices in Quito, the capital. This environmental crisis is the result of the super-El Niño phenomenon, a climate pattern characterized by warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific. This year, the impact has been particularly severe, with the coastal regions enduring prolonged and intense rains, while the sierra, or mountainous region, is experiencing droughts and extreme heat that have led to wildfires.
Farmers are among the hardest-hit groups in this crisis. To help them adapt to the increasing unpredictability of the weather, the World Food Programme (WFP), part of the United Nations, has launched weather bulletins that are shared via WhatsApp. These forecasts are distributed to nearly 15,000 farmers through trained community officials, according to Mongabay. This initiative aims to provide accurate and timely information that can help farmers make informed decisions about planting and harvesting.
In the past, farmers in San Blas, a region in northern Ecuador, relied on traditional methods such as cabañuelas, a form of weather prediction based on the observation of the first days of January, or the Bristol Almanac, a publication that includes astronomical and astrological forecasts, lunar calendars, and advice for planting seeds. However, these ancestral methods are no longer reliable in the face of climate change, which is altering weather patterns in ways that traditional indicators cannot predict.
The El Niño phenomenon is expected to be particularly intense in the coming years, with the 2026-2027 period forecast to be "exceptional." This could have far-reaching effects, such as accelerating the melting of the "eternal ice" in Papua New Guinea, a region known for its glaciers. Meanwhile, California is preparing for an "imminent" rise in ocean levels, as scientists warn that a giant wave could be triggered by the same climatic forces.
Ecuador's Crops Affected by El Niño-Driven Weather Extremes
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