A few months before the 2027 French presidential election, a survey conducted by Ifop-Fiducial for media outlets including Le Figaro, LCI, and Sud Radio suggests that Edouard Philippe would outperform Jean-Luc Mélenchon in several scenarios where Philippe runs as a candidate. The survey, published on Wednesday, provides insights into the potential standings of various candidates in the upcoming election.
Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally, appears to be the frontrunner in all tested scenarios, with between 32 and 36 percent of the voting intentions. The candidate from the centrist party Horizons would receive 21 percent if Raphaël Glucksmann, representing the social-democratic left, is the opponent, and 23 percent if facing Olivier Faure. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, from the left-wing La France insoumise, would secure 16 percent in both scenarios.
Gabriel Attal, a candidate from the central bloc, would be tied with Mélenchon at 15 percent in a configuration where Glucksmann is the opponent and would receive 17 percent if facing Faure. Raphaël Glucksmann would get 13 percent against Attal and 11 percent against Philippe. Olivier Faure would receive 4 percent and 3 percent respectively in those same scenarios. Bruno Retailleau, a candidate from the conservative Republicans, would achieve 11 percent in the scenario pairing Attal and Faure, compared to 8 percent in the one with Philippe and Glucksmann.
Other candidates, such as François Ruffin, Dominique de Villepin, and David Lisnard, would receive between 2 and 4 percent. Eric Zemmour, a far-right candidate, would get between 3.5 and 4.5 percent. The survey was conducted online from September 25 to 29, involving 1,393 people aged 18 and over, using the quota method. The margin of error is between 1.1 and 2.5 points. It is important to note that this survey was conducted mainly before the release of a Mediapart investigation into antisemitic messages from 2013 attributed to Jordan Bardella, a prominent figure in the National Rally.
2027 French Presidential Election Poll Shows Le Pen Leading, Philippe and Mélenchon Lagging
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