Marine Le Pen continues to hold a strong lead in voting intentions for the upcoming French presidential election, according to a large-scale survey conducted by Ipsos-BVA and published on September 13. The survey, which included over 13,000 French citizens registered to vote, found that between 33 and 35 percent of respondents plan to vote for Le Pen, the candidate of the far-right National Rally party. She is followed in most scenarios by the candidate of the Unsubmissive France party, who reaches the second round of the election with 15.5 to 17 percent of voting intentions. Édouard Philippe, the candidate from the centrist party Horizons, only qualifies for the second round in two specific scenarios. These include if he is the sole centrist candidate without Gabriel Attal, facing either Raphaël Glucksmann or Olivier Faure, both from the left-wing social-democratic camp. Meanwhile, Gabriel Attal, the candidate of the Renaissance party, does not reach the second round in any of the tested scenarios. Among the candidates, Édouard Philippe is given 17.5 percent support, placing him ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon (15.5 percent) of the radical left, Raphaël Glucksmann (12.5 percent) of Place Publique, and behind Marine Le Pen, who holds 33.5 percent. The survey also found that the former prime minister of Emmanuel Macron, Édouard Philippe, would obtain 21 percent if he faces the Unsubmissive candidate, who has 16.5 percent in that scenario. However, if Philippe faces Olivier Faure, the latter drops to just 5 percent, while Le Pen remains at 34.5 percent. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who is expected to qualify for the second round behind Le Pen with 15.5 percent, would face Raphaël Glucksmann (11.5 percent) and the centrist candidates Édouard Philippe (14 percent) and Gabriel Attal (6 percent). Bruno Retailleau, the candidate of the Republicans, remains at 7 percent in most scenarios. According to the survey, 71 percent of French citizens expect the upcoming presidential election to bring about a "real social and political change," a significant increase from 51 percent before the 2022 election. The survey was conducted online between September 3 and September 9, using a quota method to ensure representation across different demographics. The margin of error is between 0.2 and 0.9 percentage points.