According to a survey conducted by Toluna-Harris Interactive for RTL and M6, Marine Le Pen, the candidate of the National Rally, is increasing her lead in the second round of the French presidential election. The survey, carried out online between September 22 and 24, included 1,974 participants representing the general population of people aged 18 and over. It suggests that Le Pen would win the election with 57% of the votes if she faced Édouard Philippe, the candidate from the Horizons party, and with 69% of the votes against Jean-Luc Mélenchon, a left-wing candidate from the Place publique party. The results also show that Mélenchon would perform better than former President François Hollande (from the Socialist Party, PS) with 18% of the votes compared to Hollande’s 16%, regardless of whether the social-democratic candidate was Hollande or Raphaël Glucksmann, another candidate from Place publique.
Édouard Philippe is seen as a stronger candidate than Gabriel Attal, who previously served as France’s youngest prime minister. Philippe is estimated to receive between 12 and 13% of the votes, while Attal is assessed at between 12 and 13% in some configurations. Raphaël Glucksmann, representing the centrist Place publique party, is expected to perform better than Hollande, with between 10 and 11% for Glucksmann and between 7 and 8% for Hollande. Bruno Retailleau, the candidate from the LR (Les Républicains) party, would receive 10% of the votes if Gabriel Attal represented the centrist bloc, and between 8 and 9% if Édouard Philippe was the centrist candidate.
Far-right candidates other than Le Pen are expected to receive fewer votes. Éric Zemmour, a candidate from the Reconquête party, would win between 5 and 6% of the votes depending on the scenario, while Marine Tondelier, also from Reconquête, would receive between 3% and 5%. Fabien Roussel, from the Nouvelle Gauche party, is projected to get between 2 and 3%, and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, from the France Insoumise party, would receive about 2% of the votes.
In a separate development, the National Rally made history by forming its first parliamentary group in the Senate on Sunday, September 27. This move came as half of the Senate seats were up for election. For the first time, the National Rally, which has been absent from the Senate until now, will have a formal presence in the upper house of the French parliament under the name France Unsubmissive.
Marine Le Pen Expands Lead in Presidential Election Polls as National Rally Makes Senate Move
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Original sources:
- 🇫🇷Public Sénat
- 🇫🇷BFMTV
- 🇫🇷BFMTV
- 🇫🇷Le Figaro
- 🇫🇷France 24



